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Optimal Financial Management - Japan Enters Surprise Recession - Week Beginning 17th November 2014
A poll by Reuters has shown that it expects the Japanese economy to enter recession after it announces its latest figures for the third quarter of 2014.
The economy has been struggling for some time now and the Bank of Japan along with the Prime Minister, Mr. Abe has been injecting cash and implementing stimulus plans which appear to have not worked.
Forecast to have expanded in the 3rd quarter by 2.1%, the figures are more likely to show a contraction of 1.6% for the July to September period. This news comes after a revised contraction for the 2nd quarter of 7.3%, notably the economies worst performance since the tsunami and earthquake of late 2011.
One positive outcome will be the likely delaying of the second planned Sales Tax increase scheduled for October 2015. This rate increase would have seen the 8% tax increase to 10%, double what it was prior to April 2014. Many commentators believed that the lack of home grown growth was directly due to the sales tax increase earlier in the year as many business and consumers brought their major purchases for the year prior to the increase happening on April 1st.
The Bank of Japan has been very proactive in its stimulus efforts and has recently just increased its state pension funds allocation of local stock from 12% to 25% and this saw the local indexes make huge gains directly after the news broke. Jumping as much as 8% over the course of several days we can now expect a slight correction as the economic news and profit taking, along with hedging against the Yen will most likely level out the markets in Japan over the course of the week.
Nikkei 225 Intraday Standing
Nikkei 225 - 16,973.80
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DISCLAIMER The views, opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed on this service are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Optimal Financial Management. All market data within this release is for your general information and enjoys indicative status only. Optimal Financial Management does not accept any responsibility for its accuracy or for any use to which it may be put. All share prices and market indexes delayed at least 15 minutes. 52 week high and low values are calculated from close price data.
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